{
  "schema": "OTR-RECOVERED-WEEKLY-COMPARISONS-1",
  "release_id": "OTR-LEDGER-RECOVERED-WEEK-20261016-R1",
  "recorded_at_utc": "2026-10-16T13:33:41.886906+00:00",
  "window_start_sgt": "2026-10-09T21:09:00+08:00",
  "window_end_sgt": "2026-10-16T21:09:00+08:00",
  "source_kind": "OWNER_SUPPLIED_RECOVERED_REPORT",
  "verification": "Price comparisons and arithmetic retained from owner report. Historical market observations were not independently reverified in this update.",
  "scope": "Recovered results only. This is not a complete live-ledger total or a fully verified original-contract win rate.",
  "items": [
    {
      "call_id": "SCALL-f270975056b1bc3dfce6dc08",
      "signal_id": "INV-20261007-2317-CVX",
      "asset": "CVX",
      "direction": "BULLISH",
      "reference_price": 206.56,
      "endpoint_price": 213.43,
      "currency": "USD",
      "status": "HIT",
      "reported_deadline_sgt": "9 Oct",
      "original_deadline_utc": "2026-10-09T15:17:00Z",
      "original_record_sha256": "b196fbb1768bb7cc605ae42ddcfab0dd214aba158fd8d8018c4843dcb9dc2ecf",
      "qualification": "Unverified-entry and inactive-scoring flags retained. This weekly comparison does not activate the call in the main scoring cohort.",
      "conflict": null
    },
    {
      "call_id": "SCALL-17a5ca9f756f032c4f5e8176",
      "signal_id": "INV-20261007-2317-USDJPY",
      "asset": "USD/JPY",
      "direction": "BULLISH",
      "reference_price": 158.22,
      "endpoint_price": 158.36044369,
      "currency": "JPY per USD",
      "status": "HIT",
      "reported_deadline_sgt": "9 Oct",
      "original_deadline_utc": "2026-10-09T15:17:00Z",
      "original_record_sha256": "826595f8c06f9e619d4677980047531e60b5548bca70a6969f10bfa899434de9",
      "qualification": "Unverified-entry and inactive-scoring flags retained. This weekly comparison does not activate the call in the main scoring cohort.",
      "conflict": null
    },
    {
      "call_id": "SCALL-75fde70c7336c623e1548824",
      "signal_id": "INV-20261007-2317-USO",
      "asset": "USO",
      "direction": "BULLISH",
      "reference_price": 145.45,
      "endpoint_price": 148.68,
      "currency": "USD",
      "status": "HIT",
      "reported_deadline_sgt": "9 Oct",
      "original_deadline_utc": "2026-10-09T15:17:00Z",
      "original_record_sha256": "30f2d02649e5afddc8c8e519af1990aa85898764a2370048e7c5d9e49d377e35",
      "qualification": "Unverified-entry and inactive-scoring flags retained. This weekly comparison does not activate the call in the main scoring cohort.",
      "conflict": null
    },
    {
      "call_id": "SCALL-7ef609e1f9e33a5075ad3217",
      "signal_id": "INV-20261007-2317-XOM",
      "asset": "XOM",
      "direction": "BULLISH",
      "reference_price": 165.21,
      "endpoint_price": 170.08,
      "currency": "USD",
      "status": "HIT",
      "reported_deadline_sgt": "9 Oct",
      "original_deadline_utc": "2026-10-09T15:17:00Z",
      "original_record_sha256": "6e54eb715e73d37ccbd8883b1a2135b41cddb5fdd8c679e1517b9979ff82b34c",
      "qualification": "Unverified-entry and inactive-scoring flags retained. This weekly comparison does not activate the call in the main scoring cohort.",
      "conflict": null
    },
    {
      "call_id": "SCALL-3fdb754a16af7e24b6aeedae",
      "signal_id": "PDF-0e0ee76c968f726bae76d621-08",
      "asset": "BTC",
      "direction": "BULLISH",
      "reference_price": 82825.4,
      "endpoint_price": 82943.91,
      "currency": "USD",
      "status": "HIT",
      "reported_deadline_sgt": "11 Oct, 16:26",
      "original_deadline_utc": "2026-10-11T08:26:00.000Z",
      "original_record_sha256": "f196af91334d10e4faf4e128dd644aa108d1e36e1da8cdfacafcc11e5a3c6f6a",
      "qualification": "Supplied starting reference; independent-provider endpoint uses a candle-opening price. Original deadline clock remains unchanged.",
      "conflict": null
    },
    {
      "call_id": "SCALL-451b33790b111ecc885e2530",
      "signal_id": "PDF-b49527a2f6bf3fe334538e37-09",
      "asset": "BTC",
      "direction": "BULLISH",
      "reference_price": 82936.69,
      "endpoint_price": 83503.81,
      "currency": "USD",
      "status": "HIT",
      "reported_deadline_sgt": "12 Oct, 02:53",
      "original_deadline_utc": "2026-10-11T18:53:41Z",
      "original_record_sha256": "c020432af81d552668d7b2994b23996d2dfd878ecd7b734229c12ff50c1477d4",
      "qualification": "Supplied starting reference; independent-provider endpoint uses a candle-opening price. Original deadline clock remains unchanged.",
      "conflict": null
    },
    {
      "call_id": "SCALL-7c2ee264627b3a0da72fa82c",
      "signal_id": "PDF-23cc489698912dc594317fdc-01",
      "asset": "BTC",
      "direction": "BULLISH",
      "reference_price": 82917.25,
      "endpoint_price": 83583.27,
      "currency": "USD",
      "status": "HIT",
      "reported_deadline_sgt": "12 Oct, 11:24",
      "original_deadline_utc": "2026-10-12T03:24:05Z",
      "original_record_sha256": "60b608282da0211def9becbe38b1b827b9dd06b9a890bd9ad1b6e93be36d18f6",
      "qualification": "Supplied starting reference; independent-provider endpoint uses a candle-opening price. Original deadline clock remains unchanged.",
      "conflict": null
    },
    {
      "call_id": "SCALL-398df6416ce6b250320e5db6",
      "signal_id": "PDF-e56808abc5a4b9c3a6556ccd-08",
      "asset": "BTC",
      "direction": "BEARISH",
      "reference_price": 82566.6,
      "endpoint_price": 81973.13,
      "currency": "USD",
      "status": "HIT",
      "reported_deadline_sgt": "13 Oct, 09:31",
      "original_deadline_utc": "2026-10-13T01:31:00Z",
      "original_record_sha256": "1430a67b84c4c73c82a2a47f685bb494c5355d6a9b7dbc01c304c744a21d9b13",
      "qualification": "Supplied entry and independent-provider endpoint; the original provider and timing qualifications remain in the call record.",
      "conflict": null
    },
    {
      "call_id": "SCALL-193f6937d4ac22ce86765740",
      "signal_id": "PDF-e56808abc5a4b9c3a6556ccd-09",
      "asset": "ETH",
      "direction": "BEARISH",
      "reference_price": 2489.35,
      "endpoint_price": 2449.43,
      "currency": "USD",
      "status": "HIT",
      "reported_deadline_sgt": "13 Oct, 09:31",
      "original_deadline_utc": "2026-10-13T01:31:00Z",
      "original_record_sha256": "c98044cdc1e00a54969299ad70fe9110fab19cbc8ce7ccfd94abf40cabeb2ef8",
      "qualification": "Supplied entry and independent-provider endpoint; the original provider and timing qualifications remain in the call record.",
      "conflict": null
    },
    {
      "call_id": "SCALL-1e74340ee2ce64b66f64cf11",
      "signal_id": "PDF-20261008-0821-09-SNAP",
      "asset": "SNAP",
      "direction": "BULLISH",
      "reference_price": 5.83,
      "endpoint_price": 6.05,
      "currency": "USD",
      "status": "HIT",
      "reported_deadline_sgt": "15 Oct",
      "original_deadline_utc": "2026-10-15T00:21:00Z",
      "original_record_sha256": "9474fa4ed05c33757ca35e53e593fd2367f5aa86e33593ad30967f3089ec2bbf",
      "qualification": "Recovered owner comparison; exact observation clocks and offsets are unavailable in this update.",
      "conflict": null
    },
    {
      "call_id": "SCALL-f395930236417faa91b3032b",
      "signal_id": "PDF-20261008-0821-15-U96",
      "asset": "U96",
      "direction": "BULLISH",
      "reference_price": 5.9,
      "endpoint_price": 6.03,
      "currency": "SGD",
      "status": "HIT",
      "reported_deadline_sgt": "15 Oct",
      "original_deadline_utc": "2026-10-15T00:21:00Z",
      "original_record_sha256": "6877af60cfd96d6151598aef84732be503fdd2ab7ffaff226dcfbdb5e861aa23",
      "qualification": "Recovered owner comparison; exact observation clocks and offsets are unavailable in this update.",
      "conflict": null
    },
    {
      "call_id": "SCALL-1decf4b635f6b1f8658b9d45",
      "signal_id": "DESK-20261008-1407-UPDATE-03",
      "asset": "APLD",
      "direction": "BEARISH",
      "reference_price": 24.85,
      "endpoint_price": 19.8,
      "currency": "USD",
      "status": "HIT",
      "reported_deadline_sgt": "15 Oct",
      "original_deadline_utc": "2026-10-15T06:24:40.402Z",
      "original_record_sha256": "a7955817d67fd5439f8353bb5f98f3bab9d57d49b129518ee2cd357c7c6080f2",
      "qualification": "The recovered endpoint 19.80 matches the current append-only APLD correction. The original V10 observation of 19.79 remains preserved. Both are qualified owner comparisons; original deadline and source limits remain unchanged.",
      "conflict": null
    },
    {
      "call_id": "SCALL-3e84742411ef61220a3df401",
      "signal_id": "DESK-20261008-1407-UPDATE-05",
      "asset": "RELL",
      "direction": "BULLISH",
      "reference_price": 19.7,
      "endpoint_price": 19.99,
      "currency": "USD",
      "status": "HIT",
      "reported_deadline_sgt": "15 Oct",
      "original_deadline_utc": "2026-10-15T06:24:40.402Z",
      "original_record_sha256": "c6d90e6f26c0237e350affe26da51d1fe6a428292b4c25d672372cc7c36d4bf9",
      "qualification": "Recovered owner comparison; exact observation clocks and offsets are unavailable in this update.",
      "conflict": "Weekly supplied endpoint 19.99 differs from retained canonical endpoint 20.20. Both yield HIT; canonical evidence remains unchanged."
    },
    {
      "call_id": "SCALL-57fc1decd340d494c4d6a9fd",
      "signal_id": "PDF-0e0ee76c968f726bae76d621-03",
      "asset": "ETH",
      "direction": "BEARISH",
      "reference_price": 2496.6,
      "endpoint_price": 2549.93,
      "currency": "USD",
      "status": "MISS",
      "reported_deadline_sgt": "12 Oct",
      "original_deadline_utc": "2026-10-12T08:26:00.000Z",
      "original_record_sha256": "b4677ad412222545a7e7fa379604df5aca5cb07b7be26d26afcd95305caa3f7f",
      "qualification": "Supplied entry and independent-provider endpoint; the original provider and timing qualifications remain in the call record.",
      "conflict": null
    },
    {
      "call_id": "SCALL-d25819a1207f9e2e83ce91c8",
      "signal_id": "INV-20261009-LEVI-REFUND-DTC-REPRICING-72H",
      "asset": "LEVI",
      "direction": "BEARISH",
      "reference_price": 18.63,
      "endpoint_price": 19.14,
      "currency": "USD",
      "status": "MISS",
      "reported_deadline_sgt": "13 Oct",
      "original_deadline_utc": "2026-10-12T17:26:47.848Z",
      "original_record_sha256": "e3020ffcdd814ba6474166b9ec82dc454f3d898f00da50c22b9c6359e826aa1d",
      "qualification": "Recovered owner comparison; exact observation clocks and offsets are unavailable in this update.",
      "conflict": null
    },
    {
      "call_id": "SCALL-4ab525371c7b69cccd50dd5e",
      "signal_id": "PDF-20261008-0821-08-PINS",
      "asset": "PINS",
      "direction": "BEARISH",
      "reference_price": 20.31,
      "endpoint_price": 21.63,
      "currency": "USD",
      "status": "MISS",
      "reported_deadline_sgt": "15 Oct",
      "original_deadline_utc": "2026-10-15T00:21:00Z",
      "original_record_sha256": "0af89393002529c435afc504e1805e87dc6d27ce03357a2da6c81db2fb896efa",
      "qualification": "Recovered owner comparison; exact observation clocks and offsets are unavailable in this update.",
      "conflict": null
    },
    {
      "call_id": "SCALL-cc49741bf7aa1c8d92e32535",
      "signal_id": "PDF-20261008-0821-12-BN4",
      "asset": "BN4",
      "direction": "BULLISH",
      "reference_price": 10.98,
      "endpoint_price": 10.3,
      "currency": "SGD",
      "status": "MISS",
      "reported_deadline_sgt": "15 Oct",
      "original_deadline_utc": "2026-10-15T00:21:00Z",
      "original_record_sha256": "df8523e94188cf3e57605873e3f424577673f205d1d5dff6d38ee72987337c29",
      "qualification": "Recovered owner comparison; exact observation clocks and offsets are unavailable in this update.",
      "conflict": null
    },
    {
      "call_id": "SCALL-35471032036af72bc29e80e6",
      "signal_id": "PDF-20261008-0821-13-Z74",
      "asset": "Z74",
      "direction": "BULLISH",
      "reference_price": 4.31,
      "endpoint_price": 4.12,
      "currency": "SGD",
      "status": "MISS",
      "reported_deadline_sgt": "15 Oct",
      "original_deadline_utc": "2026-10-15T00:21:00Z",
      "original_record_sha256": "146f2baeca17dc4aa4cecb8026dd4d24a24bfa2486b579d0b4b7ca3efb706c2e",
      "qualification": "Recovered owner comparison; exact observation clocks and offsets are unavailable in this update.",
      "conflict": null
    },
    {
      "call_id": "SCALL-bd6214bf4c214421f8aeb45b",
      "signal_id": "PDF-20261008-0821-19-AVGO",
      "asset": "AVGO",
      "direction": "BULLISH",
      "reference_price": 376.69,
      "endpoint_price": 341.75,
      "currency": "USD",
      "status": "MISS",
      "reported_deadline_sgt": "15 Oct",
      "original_deadline_utc": "2026-10-15T00:21:00Z",
      "original_record_sha256": "59aecf8e26dd64254698ddb5c1f01775a97b75afd0ce50c80f142d196f899cdf",
      "qualification": "Recovered owner comparison; exact observation clocks and offsets are unavailable in this update.",
      "conflict": null
    },
    {
      "call_id": "SCALL-766f540e7bf0d0be43443127",
      "signal_id": "RESEARCH-20261008-0915-05",
      "asset": "MU",
      "direction": "BULLISH",
      "reference_price": 1092.5,
      "endpoint_price": 889.05,
      "currency": "USD",
      "status": "MISS",
      "reported_deadline_sgt": "15 Oct",
      "original_deadline_utc": "2026-10-15T01:15:00Z",
      "original_record_sha256": "793f0a2ef0b0e23a18ebeefd2b8627ca6b6d06e5db7e3d9d57cbf0dada0b3aa9",
      "qualification": "Recovered owner comparison; exact observation clocks and offsets are unavailable in this update.",
      "conflict": null
    },
    {
      "call_id": "SCALL-18528116a5c81f575f0d7b67",
      "signal_id": "RESEARCH-20261008-PROCEED-01",
      "asset": "PSN.L",
      "direction": "BEARISH",
      "reference_price": 1212,
      "endpoint_price": 1239.5,
      "currency": "GBX",
      "status": "MISS",
      "reported_deadline_sgt": "15 Oct",
      "original_deadline_utc": "2026-10-15T03:31:03Z",
      "original_record_sha256": "89f900c3022bdcaa7dac48fc91867aede79ae83b3cc48d7d2f092516d51acb9f",
      "qualification": "Recovered owner comparison; exact observation clocks and offsets are unavailable in this update.",
      "conflict": null
    },
    {
      "call_id": "SCALL-088b29d669bf0a96224a772d",
      "signal_id": "INV-20261009-FAST-RETAILING-EARNINGS-RESET-168H",
      "asset": "9983.T",
      "direction": "BEARISH",
      "reference_price": 72030,
      "endpoint_price": 76540,
      "currency": "JPY",
      "status": "MISS",
      "reported_deadline_sgt": "16 Oct",
      "original_deadline_utc": "2026-10-16T05:20:29.009Z",
      "original_record_sha256": "192dc2670d02c4ca4d09aab71edea02109ee06874c6afae22479affc349023bb",
      "qualification": "Owner reports frozen StockWeather entry and same-provider deadline-minute quote. Raw payload and exact clock were not supplied in this update.",
      "conflict": null
    }
  ],
  "totals": {
    "hit": 13,
    "miss": 9,
    "resolved": 22,
    "accuracy_percent": 59.1
  },
  "sources": [
    {
      "label": "CVX source record",
      "url": "https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/cvx/"
    },
    {
      "label": "Public MU extended-hours record",
      "url": "https://public.com/stocks/mu/after-hours"
    },
    {
      "label": "PSN historical record",
      "url": "https://stockanalysis.com/quote/lon/PSN/history/"
    },
    {
      "label": "Gemini ETH trades source",
      "url": "https://api.gemini.com/v1/trades/ethusd?timestamp=1791793500000&limit_trades=500&include_breaks=false"
    },
    {
      "label": "StockWeather 9983 source",
      "url": "https://parts.stockweather.co.jp/stocks/ir/contents/9983/chartV2.aspx?lang=en"
    }
  ],
  "excluded_groups": [
    {
      "label": "Conditional comparisons",
      "text": "AMT HIT; NVDA HIT; CCI MISS; SOL MISS; LINK MISS. Original entry/deadline binding differs; excluded from these settled comparisons."
    },
    {
      "label": "Separate owner-supplied SOL comparison",
      "text": "SOL bearish 110.48 \u2192 111.326 indicates MISS; remains owner-supplied and unverified. Excluded from the 13/9 report. Any existing ledger record retains its own cohort treatment."
    },
    {
      "label": "Cancelled 20-call cohort",
      "text": "Previously reported aggregate: 11 HITs / 9 MISSes. Recovered HIT names: META, RDDT, GOOGL, DBS, SIA, AMD, CEG, Hays, VLO. Recovered MISS names: TLT, USO, XLU, NVDA, HYG. Six individual outcomes are missing; no assignment is inferred. Entire cohort stays outside the main count."
    },
    {
      "label": "Withdrawn calls",
      "text": "BTC bearish 81,789.20 \u2192 82,475.01 MISS; ETH bearish 2,479.51 \u2192 2,487.65 MISS. HELE withdrawn MISS has no recovered exact deadline, so weekly inclusion is unconfirmed. All remain excluded."
    }
  ],
  "learning_source_claim": {
    "label": "Retained private learning reference",
    "qualification": "Owner reports the latest Fast Retailing MISS learning is included; PDF contents were not reverified during this ledger import."
  }
}