{"schema":"OTR-SIGNALS-LEDGER-SUMMARY-1","basis":"current_testing_cohort_only","notice":"Selected cohort · 30 resolved · withdrawn and cancelled calls excluded. This score includes qualified owner-supplied comparisons and describes the included cohort, not all-time accuracy.","inherited":{"path":"/data/signals/founder-ledger-history.json","sha256":"0e8b9a3cfaad68b7abf0c3b199477e5a5a4134b5e99f511a0edf0f64d326d6a9","source":{"commit_sha":"c1196457a1212715c941d72ebe197f18856dd192","sha256":"4ac77018a8b65b83517a98c35a2f1d83d090193cf6c45b6e1a233bf0b2f6065f","release_id":"OTR-2026-10-08-0100-SGT-R1","updated_at_sgt":"2026-10-02T12:01:26+08:00"},"totals":{"hit":73,"miss":43,"resolved":116,"accuracy":62.93}},"current":{"path":"/data/signals/prediction-ledger.json","cohort_id":"OTR-SIGNALS-20261009-013145Z-RESET-1","reset_at_utc":"2026-10-09T01:31:45.598421Z","as_of_utc":"2026-10-13T23:56:46Z","totals":{"total_calls":134,"hit":25,"miss":5,"resolved":30,"pending":102,"flat":0,"unverifiable":2,"accuracy":83.33333333333334},"withdrawal_exclusions":[{"withdrawal_id":"OTR-SIGNAL-WITHDRAWAL-HELE-20261009-R1","status":"APPLIED_TO_CURRENT_VIEW_AND_COHORT","signal_id":"INV-20261008-HELE-REFUND-EARNINGS-FADE","call_id":"SCALL-271fcf6d550c131379b690a9","original_record_sha256":"4e86cfb0efb116c4f6c60023ff3656f73cc4f49c97a797e7b5d0c0ff72edf0ec","preserved_call_sha256":"9f109d89e3a3ff869545a0d1ecaa848544e3dbb6f3400d9890c2a589f07e1ed2","preserved_assessment_sha256":"400329a3db9ae216a01392aee8a4958d6b82a5d6c07f62510664260d24bc8fb7","status_at_withdrawal":"MISS","withdrawn_at_utc":"2026-10-09T23:10:22.979Z","removed_from_current_score":true,"removed_from_current_view":true,"reason":"Owner-directed recoverable exclusion from the displayed current Signals card and testing-score cohort; the original call, MISS result, evidence, frozen issue/deadline and source card remain preserved in historical records."},{"withdrawal_id":"OTR-SIGNAL-WITHDRAWAL-BTC-20261010-R1","status":"APPLIED_TO_CURRENT_VIEW_AND_COHORT","signal_id":"INV-20261009-BTC-ETF-FLOW-REBOUND-TEST","call_id":"SCALL-95a64a3c148fc6f5889e2428","original_record_sha256":"bfba36abccf4c25024d9b86ca7e62bc97214c6439c15e659aec0a5cc3712a9c6","recovered_record_sha256":"b05f7a014f58bc9b412148357bb0033bd5f92e09f58d20e589f4fe84befaccda","preserved_call_sha256":"a8759d13ab60272925ab212b9007d1393c1e8b8ad3df97f170d76d2269c3f682","preserved_assessment_sha256":"2fa83ac7726c5459b894d6ba9cde26062c5109ea91baa016f58fdf1eb1fbbbaa","status_at_withdrawal":"PENDING","withdrawn_at_utc":"2026-10-10T01:04:26.327Z","removed_from_current_score":true,"removed_from_current_view":true,"reason":"Owner-directed recoverable withdrawal from the active public Signals view and selected testing cohort. The original card, call, prior ledger row, evidence and frozen clocks remain preserved in recoverable history; no scored outcome is shown for this withdrawal."},{"withdrawal_id":"OTR-SIGNAL-WITHDRAWAL-ETH-20261010-R1","status":"APPLIED_TO_CURRENT_VIEW_AND_COHORT","signal_id":"INV-20261009-ETH-ETF-FLOW-REBOUND-TEST","call_id":"SCALL-1a2b1a210079713a963aead0","original_record_sha256":"9490249cdd4902a696eff1716ec19c3a111a2af9e82b2cd9250136f468338ca2","recovered_record_sha256":"b772d8390c60507eb4c21074db36cfd1ac505e3289b0569d554f7b280ee862c2","preserved_call_sha256":"1d542df28afaec0436cf49be6c4659784a549151acca64cbbbda37ae73ee29a3","preserved_assessment_sha256":"47f2d6b3821b0d0545bec0b1c2e15d32543375d8942afb6848544d3814653ba9","status_at_withdrawal":"PENDING","withdrawn_at_utc":"2026-10-10T01:04:26.327Z","removed_from_current_score":true,"removed_from_current_view":true,"reason":"Owner-directed recoverable withdrawal from the active public Signals view and selected testing cohort. The original card, call, prior ledger row, evidence and frozen clocks remain preserved in recoverable history; no scored outcome is shown for this withdrawal."}],"market_closed_cancellations":[{"id":"PDF-20261008-0821-03-TLT","title":"Long-term US government bond fund (TLT)","publication_order":448,"login_required":true,"prediction_resolved":false},{"id":"PDF-20261008-0821-04-USO","title":"United States Oil Fund (USO)","publication_order":449,"login_required":true,"prediction_resolved":false},{"id":"PDF-20261008-0821-05-XLU","title":"Utilities sector ETF (XLU)","publication_order":450,"login_required":true,"prediction_resolved":false},{"cancellation_id":"OTR-MARKET-CLOSED-BATCH-20261010T003331Z:SCALL-9363434e3a0e4a7cdea1ce98","call_id":"SCALL-9363434e3a0e4a7cdea1ce98","signal_id":"PDF-20261008-0821-06-META","status":"CANCELLED_MARKET_CLOSED","policy_version":"OTR-MARKET-CLOSED-HORIZON-CANCELLATION-20261010-1","label":"Market closed at deadline: horizon assessment cancelled and excluded from prediction statistics.","effective_at_utc":"2026-10-10T00:33:31.000Z","applied_at_utc":"2026-10-10T00:41:09.108Z"},{"cancellation_id":"OTR-MARKET-CLOSED-BATCH-20261010T003331Z:SCALL-73b8fcd55e68078757090e20","call_id":"SCALL-73b8fcd55e68078757090e20","signal_id":"PDF-20261008-0821-07-RDDT","status":"CANCELLED_MARKET_CLOSED","policy_version":"OTR-MARKET-CLOSED-HORIZON-CANCELLATION-20261010-1","label":"Market closed at deadline: horizon assessment cancelled and excluded from prediction statistics.","effective_at_utc":"2026-10-10T00:33:31.000Z","applied_at_utc":"2026-10-10T00:41:09.108Z"},{"cancellation_id":"OTR-MARKET-CLOSED-BATCH-20261010T003331Z:SCALL-a87308621c35b95ef6c74d3b","call_id":"SCALL-a87308621c35b95ef6c74d3b","signal_id":"PDF-20261008-0821-10-GOOGL","status":"CANCELLED_MARKET_CLOSED","policy_version":"OTR-MARKET-CLOSED-HORIZON-CANCELLATION-20261010-1","label":"Market closed at deadline: horizon assessment cancelled and excluded from prediction statistics.","effective_at_utc":"2026-10-10T00:33:31.000Z","applied_at_utc":"2026-10-10T00:41:09.108Z"},{"cancellation_id":"OTR-MARKET-CLOSED-BATCH-20261010T003331Z:SCALL-25e322bcfab8bce2adc80495","call_id":"SCALL-25e322bcfab8bce2adc80495","signal_id":"PDF-20261008-0821-11-D05","status":"CANCELLED_MARKET_CLOSED","policy_version":"OTR-MARKET-CLOSED-HORIZON-CANCELLATION-20261010-1","label":"Market closed at deadline: horizon assessment cancelled and excluded from prediction statistics.","effective_at_utc":"2026-10-10T00:33:31.000Z","applied_at_utc":"2026-10-10T00:41:09.108Z"},{"cancellation_id":"OTR-MARKET-CLOSED-BATCH-20261010T003331Z:SCALL-f833e395471b5e7821599a2c","call_id":"SCALL-f833e395471b5e7821599a2c","signal_id":"PDF-20261008-0821-14-C6L","status":"CANCELLED_MARKET_CLOSED","policy_version":"OTR-MARKET-CLOSED-HORIZON-CANCELLATION-20261010-1","label":"Market closed at deadline: horizon assessment cancelled and excluded from prediction statistics.","effective_at_utc":"2026-10-10T00:33:31.000Z","applied_at_utc":"2026-10-10T00:41:09.108Z"},{"cancellation_id":"OTR-MARKET-CLOSED-BATCH-20261010T003331Z:SCALL-090b40d7efdab03a235af33a","call_id":"SCALL-090b40d7efdab03a235af33a","signal_id":"PDF-20261008-0821-16-NVDA","status":"CANCELLED_MARKET_CLOSED","policy_version":"OTR-MARKET-CLOSED-HORIZON-CANCELLATION-20261010-1","label":"Market closed at deadline: horizon assessment cancelled and excluded from prediction statistics.","effective_at_utc":"2026-10-10T00:33:31.000Z","applied_at_utc":"2026-10-10T00:41:09.108Z"},{"cancellation_id":"OTR-MARKET-CLOSED-BATCH-20261010T003331Z:SCALL-e79c17e0dadd44a8bc0067cf","call_id":"SCALL-e79c17e0dadd44a8bc0067cf","signal_id":"PDF-20261008-0821-18-AMD","status":"CANCELLED_MARKET_CLOSED","policy_version":"OTR-MARKET-CLOSED-HORIZON-CANCELLATION-20261010-1","label":"Market closed at deadline: horizon assessment cancelled and excluded from prediction statistics.","effective_at_utc":"2026-10-10T00:33:31.000Z","applied_at_utc":"2026-10-10T00:41:09.108Z"},{"cancellation_id":"OTR-MARKET-CLOSED-BATCH-20261010T003331Z:SCALL-f6bc1af9c93809f577e7e825","call_id":"SCALL-f6bc1af9c93809f577e7e825","signal_id":"PDF-20261008-0821-20-CEG","status":"CANCELLED_MARKET_CLOSED","policy_version":"OTR-MARKET-CLOSED-HORIZON-CANCELLATION-20261010-1","label":"Market closed at deadline: horizon assessment cancelled and excluded from prediction statistics.","effective_at_utc":"2026-10-10T00:33:31.000Z","applied_at_utc":"2026-10-10T00:41:09.108Z"},{"id":"RESEARCH-20261008-0915-03","title":"Long US Treasury bonds (TLT)","publication_order":428,"login_required":true,"prediction_resolved":false},{"id":"RESEARCH-20261008-0915-04","title":"US consumer spending exposure (XLY)","publication_order":429,"login_required":true,"prediction_resolved":false},{"id":"RESEARCH-20261008-PROCEED-04","title":"D.R. Horton (DHI)","publication_order":409,"login_required":true,"prediction_resolved":false},{"id":"PDF-20261008-1244-APPEND-05","title":"Exxon Mobil (XOM)","publication_order":370,"login_required":true,"prediction_resolved":false},{"id":"INV-20261007-2317-MU","title":"Micron Technology / MU (MU)","publication_order":475,"login_required":true,"prediction_resolved":false},{"id":"INV-20261007-2317-XLU","title":"Utility sector / XLU (XLU)","publication_order":470,"login_required":true,"prediction_resolved":false},{"id":"RESEARCH-20261008-PROCEED-02","title":"Hays (HAS.L)","publication_order":407,"login_required":true,"prediction_resolved":false},{"id":"RESEARCH-20261008-PROCEED-03","title":"Valero Energy (VLO)","publication_order":408,"login_required":true,"prediction_resolved":false},{"id":"RESEARCH-20261008-PROCEED-05","title":"iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG)","publication_order":410,"login_required":true,"prediction_resolved":false}]},"totals":{"total_calls":134,"hit":25,"miss":5,"resolved":30,"pending":102,"flat":0,"unverifiable":2,"accuracy":83.33333333333334},"scope":"Current included Signals testing cohort only. Pending calls are outside the resolved accuracy denominator. Owner-withdrawn calls remain excluded with their exact prior outcomes preserved in the history archive. Market-closed deadline cancellations are a separate non-scored group excluded from included and pending counts; their exact prior pending rows and original calls remain in append-only history. Founder aggregate statistics and earlier Signals records remain separately labelled historical records; no historical call or new price evidence is inferred.","_public_delivery_projection":{"projection_id":"otr-historical-evidence-locators-20261008","original_record_sha256":"3f9802d238a7df61a052c654ffd4aba1f2a9e25ae043349b596b2b3c19f871a6","original_public_url":"/data/signals/prediction-ledger-summary.json","notice":"Retired public evidence locators omitted from this representation. Recorded results, provisional status, evidence warnings and source hashes are unchanged. The frozen original remains preserved in private source storage."}}